So who do you think will qualify?

[ParadiseES]

SEMI 1
Sure qualifiers:
Likely qualifiers:
50/50 qualifiers:
Unlikely qualifiers:
Non qualifiers:

SEMI 2
Sure qualifiers:
Likely qualifiers:
50/50 qualifiers:
Unlikely qualifiers:
Non qualifiers:

 

[GermanBango]

Semi-Final 1
100% Qualifiers:


Very likely qualifiers:


Maybe:

_______________________________
Non qualifiers:


Semi-Final 2
100% Qualifiers:


very likeley qualifiers:


Maybe qualifiers:

_______________________________
Non qualifiers:

 

[aletem]

Well I can do this for semi 1, since we know all the songs and we know Russia will qualify. This is an initial guess.

Qualifiers:
- Russia
- Sweden
- Armenia
- Azerbaijan
- Hungary
- Montenegro
- Belgium
- Netherlands
- Portugal
- Ukraine/Estonia, one of these two
----

 

[WhoKnows]

Semi 1 seems so much easier to predict than Semi 2, which is wide open.

Semi 1
"Locks"
Nearly there
Likely qualifiers
Wild card

Contender
Unlikely qualifiers

Semi 2
"Locks"
Nearly there
Likely qualifiers
Wild cards

Contenders
Unlikely qualifier

In Semi 1, I would be shocked if any of my Unlikely qualifiers made it through. And if one does, it'd probably be Iceland, given their recent track record. But even still, this year seems so strong, and their entry is especially weak, that I don't think their magic will work this time around. I want to predict the Netherlands, but can't quite find a place for them at this point.

In Semi 2, the top six look good, but after that it's an open season. I can't see Austria qualifying, but honestly, even that wouldn't totally shock me. I'm going with Georgia to qualify at the moment. Seems risky, but who knows. The competition is weak. Georgia is more of a proven product than say Slovenia or Switzerland. And at the very least they should stand out.

 

[FabiESC]

Semi 1

Qualfiers:

OUT:


Semi 2

Qualifiers:

OUT:

 

[Jim]

SEMI-FINAL 1 / QUALIFIERS:

Azerbaijan
Moldova
Sweden
Ukraine
Armenia
Albania
Hungary

San Marino
Portugal

Russia

SEMI-FINAL 2 QUALIFIERS:

Romania
Belarus
Greece
Israel
Norway
Austria
Switzerland
Malta
Ireland
Poland

 

[Odalis]

1. Ukraine
2. Sweden
3. Hungary
4. Estonia
5. Armenia
6. Azerbaijan
7. Moldova
8. Montenegro
9. The Netherlands
10. Russia

1. Israel
2. Belarus
3. Greece
4. Lithuania
5. Norway
6. Malta
7. Poland
8. Switzerland
9. Romania
10. Georgia

 

[Celia]

First semifinal

Qualifiers


Non-qualifiers


Second semifinal

Qualifiers


Non-qualifiers

I switched for /

 

[aletem]

Second semi, initial guess. More difficult to predict.

Qualifiers:
- Romania
- Norway
- Macedonia
- Ireland
- Israel
- Lithuania
- Austria/Switzerland
- Greece
- Poland
- Malta
----

 

[BananaBoy]

In no particular order, for me it's ...

Semi Final 1 Qualifiers:

Montenegro, Ukraine, Russia, Armenia, Sweden, Azerbaijan, Hungary, Estonia, Belgium, San Marino

Semi Final 2 Qualifiers:

Austria, Norway, Belarus, Finland, Greece, Ireland, Romania, Switzerland, Israel, Malta

I bolded the ones I'm more than 90% sure will make it to the final. Semi-Final 2 was actually pretty hard to choose from.

 

[WhoKnows]

With their song being as terrible as it is, I'm predicting Russia to not qualify. Unless they go all Azerbaijan on us and buy votes from others.

 

[FilipFromSweden]

Feels like semi-final 1 contains all these countries that always qualify, while semi-final 2 don't.

 

[Sabrewulf238]

I'm thinking it'll be.....

Semi One:
Armenia, Azerbaijan, Sweden, Hungary, Ukraine, Moldova, Russia, Belgium, Estonia, Iceland.

Out:
Latvia, Albania, The Netherlands, Montenegro, Portugal, San Marino.

------------------------------------

Semi Two:
Norway, Poland, Lithuania, Romania, Ireland, Israel, Malta, Greece, Macedonia, Finland

Out:
Austria, Georgia, Belarus, Slovenia, Switzerland

 

[anto475]

Semi 1:

Semi 2:


I agree with a lot of what's been said, Russia is a shaky choice to qualify, and the second semi is the most difficult to choose from.

 

[eerik]

The ugly truth: Russia's propaganda machine is working on full power and Russian diaspora will be more active than ever before.

 

[Mrm]

Now I think like this, for the first semi, (in no particular order):

1. Armenia
2. Estonia
3. Sweden
4. Russia
5. Azerbaijan
6. Ukraine
7. The Netherlands
8. Hungary
9. Moldova
10. Belgium

For the second semi:

1. Norway
2. Poland
3. Finland
4. Ireland
5. Romania
6. Greece
7. Malta
8. Slovenia
9. Georgia
10. Israel

 

[WhoKnows]

The ugly truth: Russia's propaganda machine is working on full power and Russian diaspora will be more active than ever before.

I'm thinking you're probably right.

 

[Leydan]

The ugly truth: Russia's propaganda machine is working on full power and Russian diaspora will be more active than ever before.

I think even Ukraine will give points to Russia. As you say the Russian diaspora will be in full force.

 

[Mrm]

I think even Ukraine will give points to Russia. As you say the Russian diaspora will be in full force.

I was going through comments on Russian entry video at YT and found at least 10 positive comments from the UK!

 

[eerik]

Looking at the running order... Only three entries out of twelve have qualified from the third spot since 2008. Leto Svet and Siren were both #3 in the first semi final and these were some of our worst results ever. OH NOES!!!!!111111111oneoneeleven Estonia is doomed!!!11111


Actually, no, we're fine. Same **** was said last year about our second spot in the semi-final and we made it. Won't be a problem this year either.