Semi-final predictions : Who will qualify?
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Narmina
Well-known member
My predicitons
SF 1
7/10
cegs5
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toinou03
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- October 26, 2011
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SF 1 :
OK, only 7 songs !
But true that I hoped for and but I didn't expect them any more...
No Name
Active member
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Semi 1
8/10
Guess I believed too much in the Balkans this year and too little in Ireland and Belgium.
Semi 2:
SURE QUALIFIERS
Azerbaijan
Greece
Norway
Georgia
PRETTY SURE
San Marino
Bulgaria
Romania
NOT SO SURE
Finland
Hungary
Switzerland
That would be my current guess. However, when taking into account that Lithuania and Belgium made the final, any country of the remaining seven can grab a spot in the final. I probably have 7-8 correct guesses, with 0-1 of the PRETTY SURE not making it, and 1-3 of the NOT SO SURE not making it. Wouldn't mind Malta/Iceland/Israel ending up in the top-10.
SURE QUALIFIERS
Azerbaijan
Greece
Norway
Georgia
PRETTY SURE
San Marino
Bulgaria
Romania
NOT SO SURE
Finland
Hungary
Switzerland
That would be my current guess. However, when taking into account that Lithuania and Belgium made the final, any country of the remaining seven can grab a spot in the final. I probably have 7-8 correct guesses, with 0-1 of the PRETTY SURE not making it, and 1-3 of the NOT SO SURE not making it. Wouldn't mind Malta/Iceland/Israel ending up in the top-10.
ParadiseES
Well-known member
My (realistic) wish:
And the last one between and
And the last one between
and I'll predict who won't qualify instead:
I think:
- Hungary - the song is too distant to be appreciated by the ESC fans, plus he isn't singing nor selling his song well
- Romania - I think this is last or 16th place with the juries. It can surprise though.
- Malta/San Marino - Both of them are not going through!! Both can miss out or one of them will qualify. Fans will probably vote mostly for San Marino though, so I suspect that can surprisingly qualify
- Iceland - I don't think all of the Nordics are going through. This one has the worst draw out of them I think.
- Latvia - Unfortunately, coz the song is good. Would like to see it qualify though.
- Armenia/Albania - possibly both will miss out, but I'll just say one will. Both aren't very appreciated. Albania is too Albanian (we saw what happened to Aurela). Will probably get more jury votes than Armenia. Armenia will be slaughtered by the juries (I love that song). So if one of them qualifies, my wish is for Armenia, but this is ESC and things aren't as predictable.
--
So that lists about 6-7 countries. I also think Bulgaria, Macedonia and Switzerland are not safe. Bulgaria has a televoting friendly entry (I doubt the jury liked them though), while Macedonia has Esma and possible jury and Romani support. Switzerland could do well with the juries, not sure about the televoting. It looks dull on stage, but it does have a catch.
Certain qualifiers:
Azerbaijan - Possibly a winner of semi 1. Very well performed song, but it won't be too loved by certain countries.
Georgia - Another candidate for the winner of semi 1. Definitely a top 3. It looks and sounds good. People seem to appreciate it.
85% certain qualifiers:
Greece - Should do well with the televoting, not sure if the jury really liked it though. Either way, I think it stands out. 85% because of the genre.
Norway - This is where our dear forum people will be jizzing on #13.
I don't think it will get much support from the South though. If surprisingly this fails, I won't be surprised. But, it won't! I think it will be top5 in the semi
Israel - I think this could be the winner, if not then top3, with the juries tonight. She is an outstanding performer! Since the guy in 2010 almost flopped (flopped with the televote though), I give this 85% certainty.
As for Finland, well the performance is very well. I like her! The kiss at the end will not be much appreciated in many countries (so I now kinda doubt they gonna cash some votes). Also seeing Serbia didn't qualify with Moje 3, that can happen to Finland. But, I think Finland has more chances than Iceland, a better draw and it kinda stands out!
The semi is very even! If in the other semi anyone could have qualified, in this one anyone can flop (because it is a weaker semi and most people don't care about it).
I think:
- Hungary - the song is too distant to be appreciated by the ESC fans, plus he isn't singing nor selling his song well
- Romania - I think this is last or 16th place with the juries. It can surprise though.
- Malta/San Marino - Both of them are not going through!! Both can miss out or one of them will qualify. Fans will probably vote mostly for San Marino though, so I suspect that can surprisingly qualify
- Iceland - I don't think all of the Nordics are going through. This one has the worst draw out of them I think.
- Latvia - Unfortunately, coz the song is good. Would like to see it qualify though.
- Armenia/Albania - possibly both will miss out, but I'll just say one will. Both aren't very appreciated. Albania is too Albanian (we saw what happened to Aurela). Will probably get more jury votes than Armenia. Armenia will be slaughtered by the juries (I love that song
). So if one of them qualifies, my wish is for Armenia, but this is ESC and things aren't as predictable. --
So that lists about 6-7 countries. I also think Bulgaria, Macedonia and Switzerland are not safe. Bulgaria has a televoting friendly entry (I doubt the jury liked them though), while Macedonia has Esma and possible jury and Romani support. Switzerland could do well with the juries, not sure about the televoting. It looks dull on stage, but it does have a catch.
Certain qualifiers:
Azerbaijan - Possibly a winner of semi 1. Very well performed song, but it won't be too loved by certain countries.
Georgia - Another candidate for the winner of semi 1. Definitely a top 3. It looks and sounds good. People seem to appreciate it.
85% certain qualifiers:
Greece - Should do well with the televoting, not sure if the jury really liked it though. Either way, I think it stands out. 85% because of the genre.
Norway - This is where our dear forum people will be jizzing on #13.
I don't think it will get much support from the South though. If surprisingly this fails, I won't be surprised. But, it won't! I think it will be top5 in the semiIsrael - I think this could be the winner, if not then top3, with the juries tonight. She is an outstanding performer! Since the guy in 2010 almost flopped (flopped with the televote though), I give this 85% certainty.
As for Finland, well the performance is very well. I like her!
The kiss at the end will not be much appreciated in many countries (so I now kinda doubt they gonna cash some votes). Also seeing Serbia didn't qualify with Moje 3, that can happen to Finland. But, I think Finland has more chances than Iceland, a better draw and it kinda stands out! The semi is very even!
If in the other semi anyone could have qualified, in this one anyone can flop (because it is a weaker semi and most people don't care about it). 
CypriotGirl
Veteran
Last night I had a dream that Azerbaijan failed in the semi. Imagine this happening
Last night I had a dream that Azerbaijan failed in the semi. Imagine this happening
Of course it can only happen in your dreams
My predictions:
Guaranteed finalists:
Then it's also safe for:
Then it gets tough...
I'm eliminating Bulgaria & Switzerland (both didn't impress much in rehearsals + they don't have much televote support), also eliminating Macedonia, and Latvia as I think both are 'niche' songs. Hungary could go either way but I can see it being walked over by Norway. That leaves two slots...
have quite a few televote-allies in this semifinal + I'm sure it will be well performed so it's in (hope not ) The last one... it could be either Malta, San Marino or Albania - I'd say would edge the other two but I wouldn't be surprised if it fails. But I'm really, really undecided - this is the hardest semifinal since the 2010 second semifinal.
So:
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Finland
Georgia
Greece
Iceland
Israel
Malta
Norway
Romania
Guaranteed finalists:
Then it's also safe for:
Then it gets tough...
I'm eliminating Bulgaria & Switzerland (both didn't impress much in rehearsals + they don't have much televote support), also eliminating Macedonia, and Latvia as I think both are 'niche' songs. Hungary could go either way but I can see it being walked over by Norway. That leaves two slots...
have quite a few televote-allies in this semifinal + I'm sure it will be well performed so it's in (hope not ) The last one... it could be either Malta, San Marino or Albania - I'd say would edge the other two but I wouldn't be surprised if it fails. But I'm really, really undecided - this is the hardest semifinal since the 2010 second semifinal.So:
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Finland
Georgia
Greece
Iceland
Israel
Malta
Norway
Romania
No Name
Active member
- Joined
- October 1, 2009
- Posts
- 3,818
My prediction of tonight's qualifiers:
Azerbaijan, Georgia, Norway, Greece, and Albania are all certain qualifiers. I feel pretty confident about Iceland and Macedonia too. However, had you asked me before semi-1 I would say that Armenia, Romania, and Latvia wouldn't stand the slightest chance, but after Lithuania, Belgium and Estonia qualified it seems there's an audience for practically everything.
Azerbaijan, Georgia, Norway, Greece, and Albania are all certain qualifiers. I feel pretty confident about Iceland and Macedonia too. However, had you asked me before semi-1 I would say that Armenia, Romania, and Latvia wouldn't stand the slightest chance, but after Lithuania, Belgium and Estonia qualified it seems there's an audience for practically everything.
kengaIME
Active member
My prediction for tonight:
FINLAND
GREECE
NORWAY
ISRAEL
AZERBAIJAN
GEORGIA
ALBANIA
ICELAND
MALTA
ROMENIA
xcrossed
FINLAND
GREECE
NORWAY
ISRAEL
AZERBAIJAN
GEORGIA
ALBANIA
ICELAND
MALTA
ROMENIA
xcrossed
