I'm not sure I would use the word flop but there are A LOT of countries at the top of the betting this year that I think have the ability not performing as expected (if that makes sense

)
Sweden, UK, Ukraine, Norway and Austria are at the top of the overrated list. I also have doubts of Armenia winning cause I fear the jury will vote something more conventional xdoh (I think the France 2011 comparison makes sense).
Hungary, Azerbaijan and Israel while top 10 in the betting I can definitely see doing better then most countries listed above (Hungary/Azeribaijan especially

)
5th sounds about right for Denmark although I can see them finishing a little lower. Romania could also finish higher then 11th but I wouldn't be shocked for them to place around that. Around 15th sounds right for Belgium
Spain, Greece, Russia, Netherlands, Italy are rated low and should be higher

Malta, Estonia, Germany and Poland should also be a little higher although not by too much
Finland and Ireland at 15 and 20 are also a bit high I think. I don't think France will finish dead last but they won't do much better
