Betting Odds 2023

[MopManMoss]

I love Eurovision betting I made so much money when Ronela NQ'd what a great evening that was

 

[Zeus]

I love Eurovision betting I made so much money when Ronela NQ'd what a great evening that was

Same, it's actually how I found this community (the livestreams with Matt and Sean on YT). But since I think two years I can't really bet on Eurovision from my country (Netherlands) anymore sadly. It (Eurovision) was by far my best betting topic. I mostly did it by guessing the juries influence right tho, what would be a bit harder this year with the semis at least since it's only televotes.

 

[4815162342]

betfair market atm:

1. Ukraine 3.65
2. Norway 8.20
3. Sweden 9
4. Finland 13
5. Czech Republic 19
6. UK 22
7. Israel 24
8. Spain 26
9. France 27
10. Poland 30
11. Italy 38
12. The Netherlands 44
13. Switzerland 46
14. Australia 50
14. Croatia 50
16. Armenia 60
17. Georgia 70
18. Serbia 95
19. Estonia 170
20. Portugal 240
21. Azerbaijan 250
22. Malta 260
22. San Marino 260
24. Ireland 280
25. Austria 300
25. Cyprus 300
27. Germany 310
28. Moldova 330
29. Iceland 350
30. Denmark 430
31. Latvia 500
31. Slovenia 500
33. Greece 560
34. Belgium 640
35. Lithuania 650
36. Albania 1000
36. Romania 1000

 

[12Pointsgoto.....]

I love Eurovision betting I made so much money when Ronela NQ'd what a great evening that was

I was quite surprised at how surprised people were when she NQd, in my opinion it was one of the worst performances of the night. I was a lot more shocked when Latvia NQd

 

[Realest]

Big5 Odds:

1		United Kingdom M. Muller - I Wrote A Song	29%	2.25
2		Spain Blanca Paloma - Eaea	26%	2.5
3		France La Zarra - Évidemment	22%	3
3		Italy Marco Mengoni - Due vite	22%	3
5		Germany Lord Of The Lost - Blood & Glitter	1%	51

 

[gigi_copp3]

Big5 Odds:

United Kingdom still first is a huge joke

 

[midnightsun]

Germany last too. There‘s a 50:50 chance they will gather many televotes (I am well aware it could be the opposite) and Spain is overhyped as always. I don’t think it will do that well in the televote; maybe some jury votes.

 

[12Pointsgoto.....]

Germany last too. There‘s a 50:50 chance they will gather many televotes (I am well aware it could be the opposite) and Spain is overhyped as always. I don’t think it will do that well in the televote; maybe some jury votes.

I don't think that it will do the worst out of the Big 5, in my opinion Italy is the least competitive this year. I do think that Germany is the least likely to come first in the Big 5, though.

 

[mauve]

Objectively Big 5
1. Spain
2. France
3. Germany
4. UK
5. Italy

 

[12Pointsgoto.....]

Objectively Big 5
1. Spain
2. France
3. Germany
4. UK
5. Italy

I would switch France with Spain, but other than that I agree.

 

[Looren]

Objectively Big 5
1. Spain
2. France
3. Germany
4. UK
5. Italy

I think Italy will go top 10, Spain too probably, France I can see end up a bit lower, Germany around 15-17ish, UK so far I have no idea, could go either way

 

[Realest]

The first Betting Odds, now that all Songs are out.

1		Sweden Loreen - Tattoo	40%	1.8	1.6	1.78	1.83	1.83	1.8	1.8	1.8	1.8	1.79	1.8	1.73	1.83	1.8	1.83	1.85
2		Finland Käärijä - Cha Cha Cha	15%	5.5	4.75	4.5	6	5.5	4.5	4	4	5.5	6.2	4.5	5.5	5	4	5.5	6.4
3		Ukraine Tvorchi - Heart of Steel	12%	6.5	6.75	6	6	6	6.5	6	6	6	6.6	5	5	5.5	7.5	5	8.4
4		Norway Alessandra - Queen of Kings	5%	17	17	15	17	17	15	15	15	17	17	15	15	13	19	13	21
5		United Kingdom Mae Muller - I Wrote A Song	3%	26	34	41	26	26	30	26	26	26	50	34	21	14	26	17	65
6		Israel Noa Kirel - Unicorn	3%	23	26	34	34	34	30	26	26	34	40	34	26	21	34	13	38
7		Spain Blanca Paloma - Eaea	2%	29	34	29	34	34	30	29	29	34	29	26	29	29	26	23	34
8		Czechia Vesna - My Sister's Crown	2%	34	34	31	34	34	35	29	29	34	38	34	23	17	34	17	46
9		Georgia Iru - Echo	2%	26	41	41	26	41	30	34	34	34	80	26	29	41	26	29	100
10		Austria Teya & Salena - Who The Hell Is Edgar?	2%	34	34	51	51	34	45	34	34	34	75	34	26	26	51	26	90
11		France La Zarra - Évidemment	2%	41	51	51	51	41	40	34	34	41	85	34	34	34	34	26	100
12		Italy Marco Mengoni - Due vite	1%	56	67	67	81	51	50	51	51	51	160	51	41	34	51	26	190
13		Armenia Brunette - Future Lover	1%	41	67	101	81	81	75	41	41	67	90	51	51	51	41	34	120
14		Switzerland Remo Forrer - Watergun	1%	67	67	67	51	81	70	67	67	67	75	51	67	41	67	51	90
15		Croatia Let 3 - Mama ŠČ!	1%	101	101	81	151	126	120	101	101	101	120	81	67	34	101	41	160
16		Serbia Luke Black - Samo mi se spava	1%	101	126	101	101	126	120	101	101	101	180	67	101	41	101	67	210
17		Moldova Pasha Parfeni - Soarele și Luna	1%	126	101	101	151	151	125	101	101	101	190	81	101	101	126	101	220
18		Netherlands Nicolai & Cooper - Burning Daylight	1%	151	151	151	151	201	150	151	151	101	100	101	151	34	151	34	130
19		Australia Voyager - Promise	<1%	151	201	151	151	301	200	101	101	101	270	101	151	67	126	34	430
20		Germany Lord Of The Lost - Blood & Glitter	<1%	151	151	201	151	201	150	151	151	201	270	101	201	81	151	101	360
21		Iceland Diljá - Power	<1%	151	151	81	251	201	120	201	201	201	270	126	201	101	151	101	400
22		Estonia Alika - Bridges	<1%	201	201	101	201	201	150	201	201	201	270	151	201	51	201	67	300
23		Azerbaijan TuralTuranX - Tell Me More	<1%	151	201	201	201	201	200	151	151	201	280	101	201	101	151	101	700
24		Poland Blanka - Solo	<1%	201	201	201	201	301	150	201	201	201	260	101	201	21	151	21	450
25		Ireland Wild Youth - We Are One	<1%	201	251	201	151	301	250	151	151	201	280	67	151	101	201	101	830
26		Portugal Mimicat - Ai Coração	<1%	201	201	151	201	301	200	201	201	201	280	101	201	101	201	101	650
27		Cyprus Andrew Lambrou - Break a Broken Heart	<1%	201	251	201	251	301	200	201	201	201	190	151	201	67	201	101	220
28		Denmark Reiley - Breaking My Heart	<1%	201	251	251	201	301	250	201	201	201	280	201	201	101	201	151	800
29		Greece Victor Vernicos - What They Say	<1%	201	251	251	251	301	250	201	201	201	290	126	201	101	201	151	1000
30		Slovenia Joker Out - Carpe Diem	<1%	251	251	201	251	301	250	201	201	201	280	201	201	151	251	67	770
31		Malta The Busker - Dance (Our Own Party)	<1%	251	251	301	251	501	200	201	201	201	290	126	201	151	251	151	1000
32		Belgium Gustaph - Because of You	<1%	251	251	301	251	501	250	251	251	201	290	201	201	151	251	201	1000
32		San Marino Piqued Jacks - Like An Animal	<1%	251	251	301	251	501	250	251	251	201	290	201	201	151	301	151	1000
34		Lithuania Monika Linkytė - Stay	<1%	251	501	301	251	501	250	251	251	201	290	126	201	101	251	101	1000
35		Latvia Sudden Lights - Aijā	<1%	251	501	301	251	501	250	251	251	201	290	201	201	151	251	151	1000
36		Albania Albina & Familja Kelmendi - Duje	<1%	301	251	301	251	501	300	251	251	201	290	201	201	201	301	251	1000
37		Romania Theodor Andrei - D.G.T. (Off and On)	<1%	301	501	301	251	501	300	251	251	201	290	201	201	151	301	201	1000

 

[Realest]

Betting Odds Positions of the Winners on the 19th of March.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1637408070388129793

 

[Realest]

The first Semifinal Odds of the Years:

1		Finland Käärijä - Cha Cha Cha	94%	1.01	1
1		Sweden Loreen - Tattoo	94%	1.01	1
3		Norway Alessandra - Queen of Kings	93%	1.01	1.01
4		Israel Noa Kirel - Unicorn	88%	1.05		1.08	1.1
5		Czechia Vesna - My Sister's Crown	86%	1.1		1.07	1.12
6		Moldova Pasha Parfeni - Soarele și Luna	79%	1.25		1.11	1.17
7		Serbia Luke Black - Samo mi se spava	78%	1.15		1.27	1.29
7		Switzerland Remo Forrer - Watergun	78%	1.15		1.27	1.29
9		Netherlands Nicolai & Cooper - Burning Daylight	71%	1.33		1.29	1.31
10		Croatia Let 3 - Mama ŠČ!	69%	1.25		1.54	1.58
11		Portugal Mimicat - Ai Coração	55%	1.75		1.66	1.68
12		Malta The Busker - Dance (Our Own Party)	38%	2.75		2	2.44
13		Azerbaijan TuralTuranX - Tell Me More	31%	3		2.92	3.35
14		Latvia Sudden Lights - Aijā	27%	4		2.76	3.55
15		Ireland Wild Youth - We Are One	19%	6		3.25	3.35

1		Austria Teya & Salena - Who The Hell Is Edgar?	86%	1.02		1.07	1.1
2		Armenia Brunette - Future Lover	86%	1.05		1.03	1.06
3		Georgia Iru - Echo	84%	1.05		1.09	1.12
4		Australia Voyager - Promise	79%	1.15		1.11	1.17
5		Slovenia Joker Out - Carpe Diem	70%	1.33		1.23	1.25
6		Estonia Alika - Bridges	68%	1.33	1.38	1.22	1.26
7		Lithuania Monika Linkytė - Stay	66%	1.4		1.31	1.34
8		Greece Victor Vernicos - What They Say	64%	1.4		1.4	1.42
9		Belgium Gustaph - Because of You	62%	1.44		1.42	1.51
10		Cyprus A. Lambrou - Break a Broken Heart	61%	1.5			1.07
11		Poland Blanka - Solo	58%	1.5		1.58	1.6
12		Albania Albina & Familja Kelmendi - Duje	56%	1.85		1.25	1.34
13		Denmark Reiley - Breaking My Heart	55%	1.85		1.33	1.4
14		Iceland Diljá - Power	54%	1.5	1.72	1.8	1.86
15		Romania T. Andrei - D.G.T. (Off and On)	26%	4		2.64	3
16		San Marino Piqued Jacks - Like An Animal	25%	4		2.96	2.8

 

[goncalovieira]

I can not see Serbia and Croatia qualifying...

 

[MopManMoss]

I can not see Serbia and Croatia qualifying...

I can see Croatia a lot more than I can Serbia

Also can bet365 start semi betting already, minicat is qualifying and I want to make money off of that fact

 

[HarryUK]

Serbia & Croatia are going to qualify
What I want to know is, who's voting for Switzerland??? Blander than a cracker

 

[MooseShoes]

I can see Croatia a lot more than I can Serbia

Also can bet365 start semi betting already, minicat is qualifying and I want to make money off of that fact

What about the odds of not qualifying? She'll put on a show, but I can still see the "SLAY QUEEN" votes going to and and Noa missing out.

 

[MooseShoes]

Serbia & Croatia are going to qualify
What I want to know is, who's voting for Switzerland??? Blander than a cracker

Ditto .

 

[HarryUK]

Ditto .

That is the only tolerable ballad/slow song this year and by that I mean it's actually beautiful