ESC 2021: How will your country vote?

[vikis]

Let's make some projections (even though it won't be accurate )

From Lithuania, votes for 1st semifinal:
Televote:






(Sennek got 8 from us btw)


or

Jury (yeah, gonna make some crazy picks, without even knowing who's in it):

 

[hzalfa]

1st semifinal from Italy:

Televote:











Italian juries are extremely hard to predict, just a couple days ago I had a totally different prediction, but now I changed my mind:











EDIT: I put instead of twice and nobody corrected me

 

[GermanBango]

From Germany in Semi 1:

Televote











Jury

 

[Seok-jin]

The Romanian Jury will probably give to

 

[ag89]

I wonder if big favourites will cancel each other again.

 

[ekzuu]

My prediction about Estonia, semi-final 2

Televote:












Jury:

 

[Sabrewulf238]

Not sure about the jury but as for the irish televote...












I feel very confident that Ireland will give Lithuania our 12 points in the televote, we have a powerful Lithuanian diaspora even when the Lithuanian song isn't that great, but Irish people will definitely be voting for this too. It's also the main reason I won't vote for Lithuania tomorrow even though it's in my top five.

I also think it's really likely we'll give our 10 (or at least an 8) to Australia. Especially considering Poland and Latvia (two other countries with diaspora in Ireland) are in the other semi.

Edit: A guess at how the jury might vote:












I'm really not sure how they'll vote, but I would imagine Malta, Cyprus and Australia will get points from them at least.

 

[burrito]

besides the 1st place in both, this is going to be as inaccurate as it can be, but here I go with semi 2 from Poland:

Jury:











Televote:

 

[MopManMoss]

The only thing I'm certain of is the UK televote giving Lithuania 12 in both Semi 1 and the Final

 

[94ayd]

calling:

Semi 2 Juryvote:

-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-

Semi 2 Televote:

-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-

 

[Shadowfuxcs]

votes

Televote:











Jury:

 

[Swede12]

SEMI 1
TELEVOTE
Even though TIX is not well known in Sweden his music is similar to what is served on the top 50, probably a 90% chance that he will get the 12. Destiny got 10 from the televote in our mock ESC last year, and the Roop got 8.

12
10
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1

JURY

Swedish jury gave 12 points to Fuego and 7 points to Tamta in the grand final so I'm guessing Cyprus will be fighting for the 12 with Malta who got 10 points from the Jury last year in our mock ESC. Australia is always up there as well.
12
10
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1

 

[A-lister]

My guess for Sweden in the semi is:

Televote











Jury

 

[heke1988]

Semi-final jury:












Semi-final televote:

 

[ekzuu]

Semi-final jury:












Semi-final televote:

Finland gonna give only 5 points to Estonia in televote? I'm pretty sure we'll be in top 3. Huge Estonian diaspora in there.

 

[heke1988]

Finland gonna give only 5 points to Estonia in televote? I'm pretty sure we'll be in top 3. Huge Estonian diaspora in there.

Well 50000-60000 Estonians and they didn't vote very much Laura in UMK 2021. Also Uku's Song isn't best of this semi's ballads.

 

[Lance Esgard]

I might give a deeper answer later, but so far, 100% of the time, Australia has given 12 points in the televote to an upbeat song. So I would expect that trend to continue.

 

[A-lister]

I might give a deeper answer later, but so far, 100% of the time, Australia has given 12 points in the televote to an upbeat song. So I would expect that trend to continue.

Australia is an interesting country when it comes to voting, some would assume that Australia would vote like western European countries and their usual picks, but it actually seems not really the time.

Also, what impact would you say diaspora in Australia has on the voting? So far that didn't seem to obvious either (I refer to mostly Greeks, Italians and Balkans who seem to be quite big European diaspora groups in Australia).

 

[Slabsson79]

Semi-final jury:












Semi-final televote:

Only 2 televote-point to Czechia? I hope it´s not the Kamara-effect...
As for Czechia, always hard to predict, especially the televote, as I assume, that many ex-pats vote and not that many Czechs...
however, Jury:

 

[aef]

Prediction for SF 1

Televoting











Jury (well quite pointless to predict but let's give it a try)