Honestly, I don't know. The odds haven't changed one bit in Lea's favour, the semi isn't the strongest but there's a handful of countries that usually get free passes to the final and thus will take most of the spots available.
Personally, I love the song and the performance Lea will give us in Lisbon. The song has the potential to do well and be impactful, and the draw isn't too bad if you ask me. The big question marks to me are: will the juries sink the song despite being contemporary, different and well sung? if so, will it get enough support from viewers to get through?
I like to believe she'll make it because you know Slovenija is my baby and I want you to succeed. I'm crossing my fingers for you, even though I'm not sure of anything at this point.
As for Madame Monsieur, I still remain on the unpopular side of the opinions: I don't quite get the support the song receives but I like their final outfits

Shoot me now!
Okay, tuorem, this is probably the longest and the most polite answer in this forum from anyone, which finally says that one sincerely doubts Lea's chances to qualify

2 Look, I really don't care if she does or does not qualify, because I am really pleased with the job Lea has done so far. I think that Slovenia/Lea's team has for the first time put not only a lot of, but actually also decent effort into the act. Even if she does not qualify, respect for Lea. But if she does, I would not be surprised.
Somewhere down deep in my guts I have this feeling that a lot of surprises are awaiting us in the 2nd semifinal. In fact, I believe that even the first semifinal isn't locked yet and clear who will qualify. For instance, Macedonia, who were my sure qualifiers after all entries have been submitted in March, is in my opinion slowly losing their spot in finals. Bad vocals, bad camera work thus far. I love the song, I think the singer is superbly beautiful, however, Macedonia is probably the first country that has sent top musical material and did not manage to qualify for two years in a row.
As for the 2nd semifinals, I must say first that while people claim that it is the weaker of the semifinals, I am not so convinced nor necessarily agree with them. Namely, the fact is that the 1st semifinal is very much composed of real Eurovision schlager songs, while the second semifinal has musical diversity. Even Estonia, despite Elina's superb performance and astonishing beauty, is not doing anything what we haven't seen in ESC. And by WE I do not mean only ESC fans, but the entire ESC audience. Next, Finland, which already you pronounced that it is overhypped for no obvious reason, is de facto a generic pop schlager that in my opinion could fall really really flat already in semifinals despite the singer's vocal capabilities.
So, if I try to focus now on the 2nd semifinals, and make my predictions, I must say that unfortunately I think only Russia is out. I really like the song, you know it, but the staging is simply horrible. I could live with shaky vocals by Yulia, who seems to be genuinely sweet girl, but the whole package is simply off. As for the rest, I cannot find one utterly bad song that we can proclaim as a sure non-qualifier. Yes, I have not written off even San Marino and Georgia at this point, even though their songs are perhaps not the most radio friendly, their staging and live performances seem to be quite decent/good/fun, so I consider them still as decent contenders for the finals. In fact, I am so excited about the 2nd semifinals announcement of finalists as never before, to be honest. I think it will be nerve-wreacking 3-5 minutes that will be followed with an explosion of surprised comments about a couple surprising non-qualifiers.
For instance, I think that Norway is high in bets only because of the fact that the singer is the past ESC winner. But people who make bets forget one thing. Common, casual voters do not have only short-term memory. I think they will compare Alexander's song this year with his winning song, and honestly, I am sure that his winning song will pull him down, as we all know that his entry this year is not even close to Fairytale. Then, Benjamin Ingrosso and his dance and his lisp... I mean, I admit, I am sometimes sick and tired of this continous fandom hype of every Swedish entry, but I must say that Sweden this year is not as strong as some people predict/say it is. Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if Sweden stays behind or it will be only a borderline qualifier. Australia? Well, we have seen that the last year Australia was saved twice by juries. I think that people/audience is getting bored with Australian entries - they basically sounds almost all the same - Eurovision kitsch songs - and the staging is not really impressive this year.
So,if I leave aside all other entries and not going into too much details, my summary/point of this long post is that I really do not see sure and unsure qualifiers. 2nd semis are an open battle, and one small slip or mistake could mean for any of the entries that it is out. And does Lea has chances to qualify? Absolutely she has, but she is like the rest - still with a huge question mark beside her name. But this question mark must be placed next to every entry in this semi - except for Russia. Yulia is out. So, do you agree with my assessment or not?
