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Realest
14th March 2019, 15:02
Fanflops:

::sl wont qualify. Especially Juries will hate it.
::se I have a feeling he will end up lower than Benjamin, but he shouldnt flop completely.
::am might be a surprise Non-Qualifier. I cant see much Casual Viewers putting her in the personal Top1-2 and therefore voting for her.
::cy wont be Top15. ::ch will steal her TVs and ::mt her Juryvotes.
::gr will do worse than Demy who couldnt become a Fanfavourite.

Dark Horses:

::mt might get 250+ Jurypoints and reach the Top5.
::pt will end up higher than the Odds say.
::lt will unfortunately qualify.
::hu is so underrated in most YT-Tops. I think Top15 is possible.
::by wont go too far, but I think she might beat 1-2 higher-bet Countries and at least qualify.
::uk will reach Top20 thanks to Juries.

Citelis
14th March 2019, 15:55
FLOPS
::gr is not even a sure qualifier! Many people believe that we are going to do well but way less people are going to vote us and i don't see juries like that as much as people say!
::cy won't do as well as ''Fuego'' did. NQ is impossible but in the final the result won't be good! I can see it in the right side of the scoreboard!
::ch is not a sure qualifier either! SF2 is very difficult semi-final and i cannot see this doing well on juries!
::no is more likely to fail to qualify because of juries! But even if they qualify they will stay out of top 15 too!
::sm won't qualify as many fans believe
::mk won't qualify

DARK HORSES
::fr will do way better than most people think!
::az will reach top 10
::be will reach top 10
::at will be top 5 for juries and will qualify because of them
::au will reach top 10
::pt will be top 2
::hr i hate it but it will do better than most people expect

GRE
14th March 2019, 16:13
Flops
Cyprus, Norway, Portugal

Dark Horses
Slovenia, Albania, Azerbaijan, Ireland

midnightsun
14th March 2019, 16:55
Flops:

Portugal: Probably qualifier but not as succesful as in most polls here or on YT etc. Below or close to the top 10.

Greece: Don't think it is a safe qualifier though its sucsess in the polls. We have too many ballads of this kind this year and most will be focused on the Netherlands and Russia.

Slovenia: See Greece. It's outstanding on the one hand but on the other very forgettable. It's the kind of song you like while you are listening to it but in the end (of the semi) there were so many good songs you forget to vote for this one. Will not qualify.

Armenia & Azerbaijan: usually high up in the polls with a certain fanbase they are again very borderline qualifiers this year. By having lots of more outstanding songs this year it can be very dangerous for them.

Dark Horse:

Croatia: Underrated in the polls you must not ever forget the power of a dramatic classic ballad from a Balkan country. Will qualify.

Israel: This could be a flop as well but since it's not overly popular in the polls it can only be a winner. There is a good chance it will do VERY well, if people are in the mood and are bugged by all the "cheap" dance songs. Top 5 possible!

Germany: see Israel

Poland: Apart from being completely different from all the rest, it's an earworm and the only one that is kind of rock music. Punk. Protest. Plus traditional staging. Will attract some. Will qualify!

Iker
14th March 2019, 17:12
flop
cyprus (the same formula / song as Fuego except for being weaker)
norway
greece
armenia

Dark horse:

azerbaijan:
germany
france
albania
estonia

Pawhlen
14th March 2019, 18:55
Fan favorites:

::no SITS didn´t get much love from the IJ in the norwegian final (but every jury maybe had them on 2nd or 3rd place what do I know?) but it´s a risk that could go either way

::cy Was it so smart to send a identical song as last year? This is also weaker, could be costly

Dark horses:

::au will get many points from televote
::ee this will do better than many think

anaraqueen
14th March 2019, 19:21
fan flops
::no
::gr

dark horses
::ro
::by

carl1
14th March 2019, 19:45
flop
::cy Switzerland will overshadow Cyprus

dark horse
::az excellent pop song imo, certain top 10 and a dark horse for top 5

BorisBubbles
14th March 2019, 19:50
Flops:
::az - There is no way this messy song doesn't fizzle out in a badly-staged blaze of glory
::cy, ::ch - All the uptempo reggaeton/dance fusion will cancel each other out, and I am not convinced an Aging Bitch such as Tamta or a Tool such as Luca will attract as many people as people think they will.
::ee - The more I listen to Estonia, the more it stands out as an absolute clunker. It might not even qualify at this rate.
::no - I defo think they're going to get the Greta/Jonsi route of barely qualifying, and then finishing in about 20th place.
::pt - The message of Telemóveis could very easily fly over the head of both casuals and jurors.

Dark Horses:
::al - We would be discussing whether Jonida could win or not if it weren't for the flag she'll sing under.
::fr. - I'm surprised so many people are ignoring Bilal just because they don't like him. I think he's clearly the Rasmussen of the year (or even the Michal Szpak lmao), he will appeal to a lot of people, has plenty of charisma and a strong message of empowerment that will resonate with a lot of people.It is foolish to write him off completely.
::mt - While there is a significant chance Malta fall flat on their faces once again, I think they can do a lot better than people give them credit for.
::sl - With the right camerawork this is the Blanche. Period.

0scar
14th March 2019, 20:55
Fan flop obviously ::no
Maybe ::pt as well

Dark horses.. ::ee ? ::ie

DaFlo
14th March 2019, 20:57
All three of ::is ::pt ::no gon underperform and fandom gon cry

Ichbinjari
14th March 2019, 21:09
I think Albania is a real darkhorse and I think Australia is the fanflop

Antho
14th March 2019, 21:20
FLOPS
::ru It probably won't sneak into the top 10 (which is underwhelming considering the hype around Sergey).
::no I'm afraid it won't even qualify. SF2 is tough
::sm I mean, yes it's Serhat, yes it's funny, but it won't qualify, that's kinda obvious isn't it?
::pt It's going to qualify, but it won't do as good as expected. I don't think it'll reach the top 15.

DARK HORSES
::fr Not saying this because it's my country, but I think we could do better than expected (top 15 - top 10 maybe). With the revamp, a good staging and better vocals it should be fine I guess.
::am If she delivers on stage, then Armenia could really reach the top 5.
::au This is probably one of the most original song this year so I think it will stand out enough to qualify and get top 15 result.
::uk Michael could give UK their best results for years. I really do think this could have a surprisingly good result, just like Michael Schulte last year.

Iker
14th March 2019, 21:29
All three of ::is ::pt ::no gon underperform and fandom gon cry

Norway & Iceland need to improve their live performance (including vocals) big time, for sure. :oops: In the case of Iceland it actually sounds quite far from their studio version that I love, in a bad way.

EscTurkey
14th March 2019, 21:45
Fanflops
::no (It screaaaaams fanflop)
::pt

Darkhorse
::az
::al
::es
::uk

EvNickGR
14th March 2019, 23:26
FanFlops: Norway, Portugal
Dark Horses: Albania, Slovenia

94ayd
15th March 2019, 00:33
Flops: ::ee ::gr ::no ::pt

Horses: ::al ::at ::be ::sl

Romeo
15th March 2019, 22:25
Fanflop: ::is

Dark horse: ::il

Ianp16
16th March 2019, 01:03
I think Germany will be last again. Sister is such a climb-down from last year and the song lacks the integrity that made last year perform well.

I'm praying Malta will be a darkhorse and slay. They deserve a win after so long.

Ianp16
16th March 2019, 01:07
Fan flop obviously ::no
Maybe ::pt as well

Dark horses.. ::ee ? ::ie

Definitely Ireland if the performance is really good and captivating. The girl that sings doesn't look very confident though and her eyes are hard to see. I love the song though and think it could be a surprise like last year.

Ezio
16th March 2019, 01:07
Flop ::no
Horse ::al

midnightsun
16th March 2019, 01:28
I forgot to mention Albania as a flop.

Albania is always usually a big fan favourite. But ths year is on a par with half of Albania's songs the past decade and only a few have qualified, each time it was borderline except for Bushpepa last year, but his song was quite different.

ayzelto
16th March 2019, 03:54
Flops: ::no (the clearest of them all, it won’t even make it to the final), ::ch (unfortunately)
Dark Horse: I can only think about ::au

Jonaxh
16th March 2019, 17:26
Flops: ::is Iceland - I really hope this doesn't flop! It's not even close to my top 10, it's a style of music I don't appreciate, but I can see that it's a great composition, interpreted with passion and this needs to be rewarded with a good place in the final. But I can see this flopping and not even making it out of the semifinal...

Dark Horse: ::rs Serbia is really under the radar this year! But her voice is magnificent! I really enjoy this song.

Kitakaze
18th March 2019, 04:53
Still early days as we haven’t seen the rehearsals, which as we all know is make or break. But I don’t see Norway as a likely fanflop, they stand out as the only trio in their respective semi and are collectively one of the most instantly likeable performers. The song is memorable with a clear hook and some high impact staging will be enough to see them qualify with a respectable result.

In a year with many well produced, radio-friendly, modern pop songs it’s hard to foresee indeed any fan favs flopping. That said, I think it’s likely that title will belong to some of the songs that fall under this jury-friendly category, rather than televote-friendly songs. Although I think both are likely qualifiers, songs like Armenia and Belgium spring to mind, unless of course they bring something visually arresting to the stage. Armenia though is just less distinctive than similar entries in Malta, Cyprus and Greece and Belgium is too sanitised to do well with either jury or televote. I’d say France are in for much worse result than expected too, though I’m not sure how much traction the song has actually gained in the community to be considered a flop anyway.
(TLDR fanflops: Armenia, Belgium, France).

blue00eyes
18th March 2019, 08:56
Flop - Iceland, Armenia
Dark horse - San Marino

popavapeur
18th March 2019, 12:04
Flop : ::ch ::nl
Switzerland won't gather as much points as we think and end up 20-26th in the final something like that
The Netherlands won't really flop but something like 3rd to 6th place is likely to me. But I mean that's a flop when you're supposed to be the winner I guess ?


Dark Horse ::by
Belarus is weirdly likeable and more than all the poptastic-alike songs. It feels way more genuine and I think the viewers will notice it at home

Kitakaze
23rd March 2019, 03:46
Really liking Slovenia as a (relative) dark horse. Probably not nearly enough mass appeal to threaten the top 5 but something like 8-15. Stands out for it’s atmospheric quality and being one of the more genuine performances with actual chemistry ought to help.

Alaska49
23rd March 2019, 05:42
i will now try to predict the possible winner of a number of awards invented by me

THE KATE RYAN AWARD (fan favourite, fans believe in qualification right until the moment it doesn't happen): ::ch

THE MEI FINEGOLD AWARD (fan favourite, rehearsals and staging are bad and everyone leaves the sinking ship before it NQs): ::gr

THE HAREL SKAAT AWARD (high in odds, is thoroughly underwhelming live and doesn't really shock anyone when it doesn't place well in the final): ::cy

THE NIKA KOCHAROV AWARD (qualifies to the final and shocks the outraged fanbase outside this board though the writing really was on the wall): ::at

THE COMMON LINNETS AWARD (nobody cares until the live performance, it is a smashing success and then everyone pretends they always loved it even though they tooooooootally didn't): ::be and to a lesser extent ::fr

THE SPAIN AWARD (has all the potential in the world, completely wastes it, local fans stay deluded and are shocked and upset when it flops): ::es

THE BLANCHE AWARD (fan favourite, fans ridiculously betray the entry because "the singer is bad live", then the singer definitely isn't bad live and does well and everyone stays mad for a couple weeks because "the singer was bad live" until they try to save face by pretending they loved it all along even though alaska49 who was faithful from day one will absolutely never forget how fickle and mercenary you all were): ::pt



can't wait to get all of this wrong (except spain duh). in all seriousness, this is the one year it feels like everything will go as most predict, at least in semifinals? i can't really pinpoint a real kate ryan in the making, even in semi 2 where it's very possible to happen. also, at this point ::no no longer counts as a kate ryan because everyone expects it lol.

Kairit
23rd March 2019, 15:31
dh: ::de will do really well. ::gr will actually do well and more, since many people here are predicting it to flop. :lol: ::dk will qualify along with ::lv, but ::dk is the bigger dark horse.
flop: ::am tbh, also ::hu even though nobody's really hyping it per se, but I don't think it will qualify, ::no isn't touching the top 10, a mild flop for ::pt

(could be in the bold predictions thread but lol)

Franzilein
24th March 2019, 15:59
THE SPAIN AWARD (has all the potential in the world, completely wastes it, local fans stay deluded and are shocked and upset when it flops): ::es

Caught me off-guard, thanks for the laughter :lol:

EscTurkey
27th March 2019, 10:33
As a person who had predicted ::de 2018 success, mark my words,

2019 ::uk is the dark horse of the year.

I expect a top 10 finish if the staging goes well.

tomos2019
27th March 2019, 11:27
I want the UK to finish top 10 but I don't think it will unfortunately!

martin
27th March 2019, 15:19
Fanflop:

Switzerland: Very popular With fans and great video, but Switzerland is overrathed nearly every year and will him made it live. I,m not sure about it and could see Switzerland be a fanflop. Also The Netherlands, Sweden, Aserbaijan could take votes from him in semifinal

Norway: Very popular with fans, but this is a little bit like Monsters and hear them calling fram last year/2016. Did not get many 12 Points from the int jury in Norway jury. Much better in studio than live.

Others flop but not very popular in fans voting is North Macedonia, Estonia and Albania. In first semifinal Iceland could be a fanflop like Finland 2015

Dark Horses: Maybe not for winning, but for top 10 in final

Czech Republic: This work good live and could stand out very well this year

Lithuania: Well many views on youtube and the song could be a Lion King song. Could work really well when Lion King Movie come out and People will think is a really good song. Also Ireland, UK, Norway and Latvia will help this song in televoting semifinal 2

Denmark: Lise Cable has wrote this song. Could get some of the votes Zoe get some years ago. It really stand out between all the male pop/ballad songs

Aserbaijan: Could easy see this get many Points in East Europe

Citelis
27th March 2019, 15:41
I hate ::az entry but i can see it doing very well on televoting too! If the staging is good then it will reach 3rd or 4th position in televoting! I have no idea about juries but if they like it too then top 5 will come!

::at will qualify and will do well mostly because of juries!

Pawhlen
27th March 2019, 16:06
Fanflop:

Switzerland: Very popular With fans and great video, but Switzerland is overrathed nearly every year and will him made it live. I,m not sure about it and could see Switzerland be a fanflop. Also The Netherlands, Sweden, Aserbaijan could take votes from him in semifinal

Norway: Very popular with fans, but this is a little bit like Monsters and hear them calling fram last year/2016. Did not get many 12 Points from the int jury in Norway jury. Much better in studio than live.

Others flop but not very popular in fans voting is North Macedonia, Estonia and Albania. In first semifinal Iceland could be a fanflop like Finland 2015

Dark Horses: Maybe not for winning, but for top 10 in final

Czech Republic: This work good live and could stand out very well this year

Lithuania: Well many views on youtube and the song could be a Lion King song. Could work really well when Lion King Movie come out and People will think is a really good song. Also Ireland, UK, Norway and Latvia will help this song in televoting semifinal 2

Denmark: Lise Cable has wrote this song. Could get some of the votes Zoe get some years ago. It really stand out between all the male pop/ballad songs

Aserbaijan: Could easy see this get many Points in East Europe

How can ::ch be "overrated nearly every year" when they have missed the final 4 years in a row now? Just asking

martin
27th March 2019, 16:47
How can ::ch be "overrated nearly every year" when they have missed the final 4 years in a row now? Just asking


Sorry. Overrathed by the fans not in the real contest. And personal i,m are one of them who always hope/think Switzerland will do it better than the actually result is. Like Timebelle and Zibbs who many fans loved like me, but not qualifly to final. Melanie and Rykka was last

hawadharma
27th March 2019, 17:34
Biggest fanflop: of course Norway
Dark horse: Romania

Phoenix
27th March 2019, 20:03
Dark horse:

::pl - This will come alive during the performance and it's very unique
::es - Could be this years Alcohol is Free
::rs - Not a huge fan, but I can see it being successful and finishing somewhere 9th-15th
::lv - Possible shock qualifier

Flop:

::no - In the second half of the second semi... this will get thrown under a bus
::sl - I can't see dripping water sound + barely present vocals appealing to many people
::mt - One of my absolute faves, but without an engaging/active performance this will finish like that Spanish hoedown girl from 2016
::au - It's on the bad side of 'polarizing'

Realest
27th March 2019, 22:59
Cant wait til May when ::no proves all Haters wrong ;)

Milos-BC
4th April 2019, 14:33
Dark horse:

::lv- I think it will do better than expected. It stays in people's ears after the first listening.

Fan flop:

::nl - It will do well, but I think the final result won't be as good as the odds are suggesting. And I don't think it will win. The final result might be something between ::ee 2015 and ::it 2017. Technically, that's not a flop, but as the atmosphere is being created around this song that anything other than 1st place is a failure....it might be.

BorisBubbles
5th April 2019, 09:01
After listening to a few lives, I've a feeling ::be could be a dark horse to do really well. Eliot's voice elevates the song out of its awkward duality.

And yes ::by could do well. ~Tamtararam, let's break the r00lz~

midnightsun
5th April 2019, 12:06
Dark horse:
::lv- I think it will do better than expected. It stays in people's ears after the first listening.


Thanks to whoever put this right before Romania did ensure both songs will not qualify. After a lot of outstanding or danceable songs, these two will be least remembered once the semi is over. Especially because both are similar.

anaraqueen
5th April 2019, 19:13
Thanks to whoever put this right before Romania did ensure both songs will not qualify. After a lot of outstanding or danceable songs, these two will be least remembered once the semi is over. Especially because both are similar.

how are they similar though

HayashiM
5th April 2019, 22:57
how are they similar though

That's easy, both are rather slow to very slow, both are very repetitive, both are sung by a female longing for the absent lover, both are at 30+ position to win in the odds, neither is likely to qualify.

Pawhlen
6th April 2019, 01:57
Dark horse:

::lv- I think it will do better than expected. It stays in people's ears after the first listening.

Fan flop:

::nl - It will do well, but I think the final result won't be as good as the odds are suggesting. And I don't think it will win. The final result might be something between ::ee 2015 and ::it 2017. Technically, that's not a flop, but as the atmosphere is being created around this song that anything other than 1st place is a failure....it might be.

I agree on ::nl, all but victory will be seen as a flop due to the heavy favorite hype it has

Mii11
6th April 2019, 02:47
Like I mentioned before, I believe that the countries that I feel might flop are:

::se - I think there is a chance this will fail to qualify. Juries might prefer other entries (the semifinal is quite strong) and from the brief survey that I did, most people I spoke to didn't find it captivating. Also the running order is not that great IMO, it's after after 3 slow songs and this song is not dynamic enough (IMO) to intrigue the voters. It's a good song but I can't help but feel it might flop ultimately.

::at , ::fi, ::sl, ::ee - I don't believe these will qualify, they are not interesting at all IMO
::pt - It will qualify but be outside TOP 10 in the final
::am - same as for Sweden, except that I'm not a big fan of the song

Dark Horses:
::mk - The message is really beautiful and I feel it might resonate with the judges (if the staging is right).
::sm - Closing the final and quite an energetic song. I can see it easily being a favorite of the older members of the audience. There are songs in semifinal 1 that might be placed lower by the juries (namely ::pl, ::by, ::ge, ::me, ::fi, ::ee, ::is ) so I can see this qualifying.
::cz - Very catchy and not in a very strong semifinal so this should be enough to qualify

anaraqueen
6th April 2019, 04:06
That's easy, both are rather slow to very slow, both are very repetitive, both are sung by a female longing for the absent lover, both are at 30+ position to win in the odds, neither is likely to qualify.
i cant see them being that similar. their style are quite different even though they are both slower as on a sunday has a darker vibe to me and the instruments feel more present.

i can see your point though. about their position i also think they're quite different because latvia is 100% screwed going after switzerland while romania won't take that much damage + block voting wise they are in a better position

midnightsun
6th April 2019, 07:50
I do think they are similar, not only the song is (to me it's almost the same kind of music) but also probably staging, maybe the same colours, female singer, similar moves.

By the way, I don't think it's necessarily bad to perform after (or before) a favourite. On the contrary, the weaker song often benefits from it. But in case of Latvia... I don't think so, in the end, people (who don't watch the songs on the internet) will watch the songs on TV for the first time and just ONE time. And I'm sure they won't remember which is which, Latvia or Romania, once the semi is over.

gingerale
6th April 2019, 11:44
::at , ::fi,


Those two wont be Fan Flops because they are definitely not Fan favorites.

GermanBango
6th April 2019, 12:51
Flops
::is
Does anyone seriously think this will end up anything but last or second to last with the juries in SF1? Like ... have you been paying attention in recent years? Would have to pull off a Top 3 placement with the televoters to qualify (which might be possible in a rather weak semi). Will either barely qualify as 10th-8th or end up anywhere from 11th-15th and therefore miss out. We shall see.

::no
Will also be destroyed by the juries and therefore barely make it to the final. A Bottom 6 placement seems likely unless televoters massively fall for it (which I honestly doubt).

::fr
Will be lucky to escape the Bottom 6. It`s just too mediocre to really have an impact on either judges or televoters.

::it
Same procedure as every year. People praise the Italian entry and say that it`s way ahead of the competition (I do love the song btw) and at the end of the day it can`t live up to the hype and expectations. A Top 10 placement? Yes, thanks to the viewers but Top 5 seems VERY unlikely to me.

::mt
Cyprus does it better - just sayin`. Will do better with juries than it will do with the televoters (duh) but will ultimately fail to have a lasting impact on both parties and will therefore end up somewhere around 20th in the final.


Dark Horses
::cz
It`s catchy and fun - quite unlike anything else in the competition. Should be enough to make them sail through and end up somewhere around 15th in the final.

::be
Has the potential to win the jury voting in Semi 1 IF executed well on stage. Will place around 10th in the final.

::hu
Will qualify with ease and manage to grab a solid result between 11th and 17th in the final.

Ianp16
8th April 2019, 17:34
Like I mentioned before, I believe that the countries that I feel might flop are:

::se - I think there is a chance this will fail to qualify. Juries might prefer other entries (the semifinal is quite strong) and from the brief survey that I did, most people I spoke to didn't find it captivating. Also the running order is not that great IMO, it's after after 3 slow songs and this song is not dynamic enough (IMO) to intrigue the voters. It's a good song but I can't help but feel it might flop ultimately.


If you think that this won't qualify then you're deluded.

EscUKFan
9th April 2019, 12:38
::is has fanflop written all over it, I can’t see the juries going for it and it’ll be very polarising with the televoters.
::al and ::at could do better than expected I think. Both seem to be songs the jury will love and ::at has also been given the pimp slot over countries such as ::ch and ::se, which is quite interesting.

jlsj
17th April 2019, 19:22
In my opinion

Flops (I actually like most of these songs)
::ch This won't be in the top 5, maybe not even in the top 10, especially if the performance isn't great
::be Unless the performance is truly remarkable, this will place very badly in the semi
::pt I don't see this qualifying, mostly due to a poor jury result
::es The jury won't let this be on the left side of the scoreboard, and it won't do that well with televoting. Could be out of the top 20.
::dk I'm bringing this up because it is 17th in the bookies. I think this won't be anywhere near qualifying.

Dark horses
::ru Many people are writing this off as a contender for the win, but I think the bookies have this one right
::at With enough jury support, this could achieve a result similar to Nathan Trent in 2017
::al Maybe this is wishful thinking, but I believe this could place in the top 10 or even better
::hu Will definitely qualify and I can see it just missing out on the top 10

Zonne147
23rd April 2019, 00:48
Flops:

::ee - I'm afraid because I still don't believe how I lost my "Verona" 2 years ago. Juries were really bad to this in Eesti Laul so I see this as a possible non-qualifier and it can finish in the bottom places of the semi.

::ch - Inspite of being one of the biggest contenders to win, I don't see this happening. It may sound too generic to the juries + the lyrics don't help. It's also a song that fades easily (but impresses easily too).

::be - Maybe I'm just too influenced from what happened last year with Sennek, but it's a semi where the jury vote is unpredictable, for that reason I think it's far from being a safe qualifier. This will need a good staging to qualify in my point of view. There is missing something in the song, and that makes me believing in Eliot's non-qualification.

::dk - The kind of song you are unallowed to hate. But is it enough to be a qualifier in semifinal 2? I think no. I believe there are many songs that will have more success with juries. Since fans aren't loving this one, I think 9th place in qualifying odds may be too high.

Dark horses:

::ro - Well, it's hard for me to believe Ester is not going to qualify. The song may not be so captivating as others in that semi for televoters who are hearing the songs for the first time, but I think juries will give it many points.

::cz - If they succeed on staging, I guess the Top 10 will be possible. Albert is an amazing performer and I think people who don't know the songs can connect with this kind of performer and with this kind of song, catchy one definitely. About juries, well, I don't know how they will react to this.

Well, I have more flops than dark horses... I don't add more dark horses because in a week they will be completely different... I think I've already had 15 different songs in that list :lol:

VikingTiger
27th April 2019, 11:41
Flops:

::au. I think Australia can be looking at a possible NQ. I cant see the televoters going crazy for this. The juries? Nope.... At best a borderline qualifier.
::am. Armenia has a great performer. But is the song instant enough to stand out? I highly doubt it. Opening the strong second semi, I think Armenia might struggle to qualify.
::sm For some strange reason that I've never been able to grasp it seems that lots of fans have a huge positive bias towards SM. This year being no exception. But being in the first semi a Q is quite possible. But if so, this will be bottom 5 material in the final.


Dark Horses:

::az. Knowing how well the country usually does the staging, I think Az might be looking at another great result. Top 10?
::be Again; I am expecting a good staging, a good performance - And Belgium will again gather points from both televoters and juries, enough for a quite decent result.

...But I guess it's after the rehearsals are starting that some REAL dark horses will show their true colours.

midnightsun
29th April 2019, 01:21
If Eliot‘s stage performance and voice doesn’t improve I hate to say it will be a flop!

John1
29th April 2019, 10:00
Flops
::nl ::ch ::sm ::be

Dark horses
::at (i'm pretty sure that it'll do very well) ::by

Ianp16
29th April 2019, 11:18
The more I read about it, and the more I listen, the more I think ::mk will have its best placing. The song is not really for me but I think this could be Macedonia's year for a top 10.

midnightsun
30th April 2019, 00:02
I also tend to think by now, Macedonia will be a dark horse, as well as Austria and Lithuania. I dislike especially the Austrian one very much but both songs are a kinda soothing with a haunting line that voters will keep in their mind. I still think Slovenia will be a flop because contrary to Austria and Lithuania it's missing a real climax.

Jukica
2nd May 2019, 23:40
Flops

::no - As much as I like it, I can see this like 5th - 7th in televoting and very low in juries :/
::be - Performance will be deciding factor
::am - Unfortunately I can see this possibly failing to qualify as well :/
::au ::fi ::ee

::is and ::pt will be either very high or very slow, there is no middle for them


Dark Horses

::ro - I don't think that this will fail to qualify, most likely final and somewhere in the middle
::mk - This can suprise a lot, I think
::cz - In my opinion, very safe qualifier and I think that it will do better than people expect
::al - Will also qualify and do better than expected
::rs - I just don't see staying in semi
::es - I can see this finishing like 8th - 12th

Alaska49
20th May 2019, 03:39
THE SPAIN AWARD (has all the potential in the world, completely wastes it, local fans stay deluded and are shocked and upset when it flops): ::es
https://media.giphy.com/media/l4pTsh45Dg7jnDM6Q/giphy.gif

i did get everything else wrong except maybe ::cy being a harel skaat so hooray